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2004 Annual Forum
Program & Proceedings

March 21-23, 2004

Sunday, March 21
  5:00-7:00pm Membership Meeting and Reception
Hilton Garden Inn, 1818 Maple Avenue

Monday, March 22
8:00-8:30amBreakfast
8:30-8:45amWelcome
8:45-10:15amPlenary Session

The Chicago Rail Project

Co-chairs - Reilly McCarren, Arkansas & Missouri Railroad Co., and
Paul Nowicki, Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railway

Hugh Kiley, Norfolk Southern Corporation

George Hardwidge, Chief Transportation Officer, Northeast Illinois Regional Commuter Railroad Corporation (Metra)

Miguel d'Escoto, City of Chicago Department of Transportation

Mike Howard, J.B. Hunt Transport, Inc.


10:15-10:45amCoffee Break
10:45-12:15amConcurrent Panels: Session 1

Panel 1A: Positive Train Control

Chair - Robert Gallamore, Director, Transportation Center, Northwestern University

Alan L. Polivka, AVP-Communications & Train Control Technologies, General Manager, NAJPTC Project, Transportation Technologies Center, Inc.

Craig W. Shier, Senior System Architect, Lockheed Martin

Panel 1B: Innovations in Air Mobility

Chair - Martin Dresner, University of Maryland

Models of Transportation Development in America: Lessons for Developing America's Space Transportation System
Patrick D. O'Neil and Carol Ebdon, University of Nebraska at Omaha

Mobilus: A New Commercial Mobility Centered on Cargo Carrying Airships
Michael Woodgerd, Center for Army Analysis and Office of the Secretary of Defense's Office of Force Transformation

Global Trade of Perishables in the 21st Century: The Case for Giant Airships
Barry E. Prentice, Transport Institute, University of Manitoba; Richard P. Beilock, University of Florida; and Alfred J. Phillips, Transport Institute, University of Manitoba

Panel 1C: Information Access in Transportation: Yesterday's Heritage, Today's Tools, and Bridges for Tomorrow

Chair - Joyce W. Koeneman, National Transportation Library

Preserving our Heritage
Deborah Howe, Collections Conservator, Northwestern University

Tools for Access to Today's Collections: Metadata, Schemas and Standards
Joyce Koeneman, Digitial Librarian, National Transportation Library

Building Information Access for the Future: Networking and Long Range Plans
Roberto Sarmiento, Head, Transportation Library, Northwestern University


12:15-1:30pmLuncheon
1:30-3:00pmConcurrent Panels: Session 2

Panel 2A: Transportation Safety

Chair - B. Starr McMullen, Oregon State University

Why Has Safety Improved at Rail-Highway Grade Crossings
Shannon Mok, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Ian Savage, Northwestern University

The Effects of Safety Practices, Technology Adoption, and Firm Characteristics on Motor Carrier Safety
Sarah J. Dammen, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center

Integrating Disaster Family Assistance into Transportation Education and Training
Jill Lynn, Purdue University

Panel 2B: Air Transport in a Changing Environment

Chair - Richard Golaszewski, GRA, Inc.

Restructuring the Airline Business Model and its Impact on Air Transportation Management
Dipasis Bhadra, The MITRE Corporation

Investments under Uncertainty in Air Transportation: A Real Options Perspective
Bruno Miller and John-Paul Clarke, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Stakeholder Values and the Evolution of Commercial Aircraft
Paul Collopy, DFM Consulting, Inc.

An Engine Manufacturer's View
Richard Altman, Pratt & Whitney

Panel 2C: Transportation Modeling

Chair - Martha Lawrence, Managing Director, Harral Winner Thompson Sharp Lawrence, Inc.

Value of Time for Commercial Vehicle Operators in Minnesota
Brian Smalkoski and David Levinson, University of Minnesota

A Multi-stage Monte Carlo Sampling Based Stochastic Programming Model for the Dynamic Vehicle Allocation Problem
Wei Fan and Randy Machemehl, University of Texas at Austin

Empty Intermodal Containers - A Global Issue
M. Boile, Rutgers University; S. Theofanis, Piraeus Port Authority, Piraeus, Greece; and N. Mittal, Rutgers University

Entity-Centric Abstraction and Modeling of Future Transportation Architectures
Jung-Ho Lewe and Daniel A. DeLaurentis, Georgia Institute of Technology


3:00-3:30pmBreak
3:30-5:00pmConcurrent Panels: Session 3

Panel 3A: Freight Transport

Chair - Jack Ventura, Surface Transportation Board

Improving Freight Transportation in the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes Region
Travis Gordon, University of Wisconsin - Madison

Estimates of Grain Barge Demands for the Upper Mississippi and Illinois Rivers
Tun-Hsiang Yu and Stephen Fuller, Texas A&M University

Panel 3B: Airlines

Chair - B. Starr McMullen, Oregon State University

Many Fields of Battle: How Cost Structures Affect Competition across Multiple Markets
Martin Dresner, Robert Windle, and Li Zou, University of Maryland

Market Penetration by Startup Carriers, 1974-2002
William A. Jordan, York University

Operational Efficiency versus Financial Mobility in the Global Airline Industry: A Data Envelopment and Tobit Analysis
Carl A. Scheraga, Fairfield University

The Evolution and Stability of Airline Alliances
Clint V. Oster, Jr., Indiana University and John S. Strong, College of William & Mary

Panel 3C: Small Aircraft Transportation System

Co-chairs: Stuart A. Cooke, Jr., NASA Langley Research Center and
Scott E. Tarry, University of Nebraska at Omaha

Determining the National Economic Demand & Travel Forecast for a Small Aircraft Transportation System (SATS: Development of an Integrated Transportation Decision Support Model)
Hojong Biak, Senior Research Scientist, Virginia Tech

Assessing the Impact of Increased Traffic in the NAS Forecasted by the Small Aircraft Transportation System (SATS)
Gary Millsaps, Systems Analysis and Mission Support, Swales Aerospace

Evaluating the Market & Business Case for a Small Aircraft Transportation Systems (SATS) as a Catalyst for Economic Development
Michael Heck, Senior Research Scientist, Center for Aerospace Technology, Research Triangle Institute (RTI) International


5:00-6:00pmReception at the Transportation Center

Tuesday, March 23
7:00-9:00amTRF Executive Council Meeting
8:00-9:00amBreakfast
9:00-10:30amConcurrent Panels: Session 4

Panel 4A: Economic Impact Analysis

Chair - C. Gregory Bereskin, St. Ambrose University

Case Studies of the Economic Impact of Highway Bypasses in Kansas
Michael W. Babcock and Jose A. Davalos, Kansas State University

The Potential of HERS-ST for Welfare Analysis of Highway Spending: An Application to Texas
David M. Luskin and Isabel C. Victoria, University of Texas at Austin

Evaluation of River Port and Road Networks to Support Mineral Development in Western Alaska
Kenneth M. Lemke, Northern Economics, Inc.

Panel 4B: The Evolution of Airport / Airline Relations

Chair - Jeffrey Hamiel, Minneapolis-St. Paul Metropolitan Airports Commission

Stephen Van Beek, Sr. Vice President for Policy, Airports Council International - North America

Louis Turpen, President and Chief Executive Officer, Greater Toronto Airports Authority

Wayne Herndon, V.P. Corporate Real Estate, U.S. Airways

Panel 4C: Geographic Information System and Remote Sensing Applications in Transportation Research

Chair - Neha Mittal, Rutgers University

Estimation of Truck Volumes and Flows Using Classification Counts
N. Mittal, M. Golias, M. Boile, and K. Ozbay, Rutgers University; L. Spasovic, New Jersey Institute of Technology

Sharing Data Between Arc/Info and Emme/2: A Practice in Lyon County, Minnesota
Ning Li, Xi Zou, and David Levinson, University of Minnesota

An Assessment of Remote Sensing Applications in Transportation
B. Bowen, K. Vlasek, and C. Webb, University of Nebraska at Omaha


10:30-10:45amCoffee Break
10:45-12:15pmConcurrent Panels: Session 5

Panel 5A: Rail Issues

Chair - Randolph R. Resor, Zetatech, Inc.

Have Railroad Mergers Resulted in Cost Savings? A Counterfactual Analysis
Gregory Bereskin, St. Ambrose University

Transport Capacity, Price Gaps, and the Economic Return: A Unique Natural Experiment in China
Zhigang Li, University of California at San Diego

Panel 5B: Rural Transportation Issues

Chair - Michael Babcock, Kansas State University

Globalization and the Transportation Conundrum in Africa
Ambe J. Njoh, University of South Florida

An Assessment of Regional Road Users Needs in Three Rural States
Jill Hough and Gary Hegland, North Dakota State University

An Evaluation of Transportation Needs of the Disadvantaged in North Dakota
Gary Hegland and Jill Hough, North Dakota State University


12:30-1:55pmAwards Luncheon / Keynote Address

Keynote Speaker

Emil Frankel, Assistant Secretary for Transportation Policy, U.S. Department of Transportation


2:00-3:30pmConcurrent Panels: Session 6

Panel 6A: Public Infrastructure Finance

Chair - Michael Pagano, University of Illinois, Chicago

Dynamic Efficiency and Transportation Infrastructure Investment
John Bartle, University of Nebraska at Omaha

Latin American Transport Sector Reforms: Experiences and Lessons
John S. Strong, College of William & Mary

Private Finance of Public Sector Infrastructure
Martha Lawrence, Managing Director, Harral Winnter Thompson Sharp Lawrence, Inc.

Panel 6B: Efficiency and Productivity in Air Transport

Chair - Alan Bender, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University

Airport Performance: A Summary of the 2003 ATRS Global Airport Benchmarking Report
Tae Oum and Chunyun Yu, University of British Columbia

The Relationship between Operational Efficiency and Customer Service: A Global Study of Thirty-Eight Large International Airlines
Carl A. Scheraga, Fairfield University

Six Long-Term Business and Economic Trends that will Influence the Air Transportation Industry through 2025
Gregory M. Nelson, MITRE Corporation

Hub Premiums in an Era of Low-Cost Carriers and Financial Distress
Christian Hofer, Martin Dresner, and Robert Windle, University of Maryland

Panel 6C: Short Haul Intermodal: An Alternative to Trucks?

Chair - Randolph R. Resor, Zetatech, Inc.

Libby Ogard, Senior Associate Tioga Group

Jim McCarrville, Executive Director, Port of Pittsburgh

Mary Ann Bucci, Marketing Director, Port of Pittsburgh


3:30pmConference Adjourns


Updated: Mar. 10, 2005